Upper End Luxury Home & Condo Sales Hit Record Levels in 2017

 As previous reported in my regular real estate blog titled "What A Difference A Year Makes" I reviewed the overall real estate market activity for the first two months of 2018 versus the same time last year.  Essentially we are seeing the same diminished sales activity in the upper end "luxury" segment of the market as we are seeing overall, 2018 is indeed getting off to a slow start.

  During 2017 the southern Georgian Bay region saw an unprecedented increase in the demand for and sales of higher end properties priced from $750,000 and up. We consider $750,000 as the base starting point for upper end property sales in this area as typically this represents the top 10% of the local MLS® market locally.

  Luxury home and condominium sales have been steadily increasing in recent years but 2017 brought forth exceptional results with total MLS® sales above $750,000 totalling 245 properties, an increase of 51% over 2016.  We are now four months into 2018 and the real estate market here in the southern Georgian Bay area and in many other areas including the Greater Toronto Area(GTA) has changed significantly from this time last year. See my blog post "What A Difference A Year Makes."  The market has clearly cooled off.  In the 1st Quarter of 2017 (January through March) upper tier home and condominium sales over $750,000 totalled 49 properties.  In the first three months of 2018 that number dropped by 8% with 45 sales above $750,000 reported through the MLS® system of the Southern Georgian Bay Association of REALTORS®.

 The GTA is a major feeder market for us here in the southern Georgian Bay area.  This year has gotten off to a slower start in the GTA as well as in outlying markets such as Oakville, Burlington, Guelph, Kitchener, Waterloo and London.  Condo sales in the GTA have remained relatively strong but single family home sales and especially those at the high end of the market are well down from this time last year.  Sales of homes price over $1 million are down 55% to 60% across the GTA and into Burlington, Oakville and Hamilton.  A recent report published by the Financial Post states that luxury home sales in Toronto have been "hit hardest."  Clearly the current market is not the same as it was this time last year.

At this point in time we can only speculate what the remainder of 2018 is going to bring.  I have been a full time REALTOR® for over fifteen years and I watch market activity and statistics closely.  I remain very confident about the demand for area properties in 2018 but at the same time, we can not ignore some key factors that will impact sales in 2018 including increases in mortgage lending rates, tighter lending rules overall and the foreign buyer's tax which has no doubt impacted sales in the Toronto (GTA) area. 

  For the most part housing inventory will probably remain low in 2018 with the exception of the upper end of the market.  As of this post there were 142 area properties listed for sale on the MLS® system of the Southern Georgian Bay Association of REALTORS® priced over $750,000.  Given the current rate of sales this year that represents close to 10 months of inventory.

  If you are serious about selling you home no matter what price range it is in,  pricing your property realistically this year will be key in attracting a worthy buyer.  In the first few months of 2017, multiple offers and selling prices were happening at a rate unlike any of us in the local real estate market had ever seen.  While we are continuing to see some properties in the lower price ranges attracting multiple offers with strong pricing, it's not to the same extent as this time last year.

  Has the market crashed?  No but it has changed and market conditions overall have slowed significantly from last year and ultimately this can be good for both sellers and buyers.  A strong, "balanced" market with adequate inventory and conditions that favour neither buyers and or sellers to a greater degree than the other is the ideal environment for all of us to be in when it comes to our real estates needs and goals.

  More on this in future posts.  In the meantime  please feel free to Contact Me  for a qualified and unbiased consultation regarding your real estate selling or buying needs and objectives.